Don’t be superstitious

Superstitious behavior comes from the mistaken belief that a specific activity that is followed by positive or negative reinforcement is actually the cause of that positive or negative reinforcement. It is the confusion of correlation and causality.—Marshall Goldsmith

Some people believe the silliest things.

      • Samuel Johnson always exited his house right foot first and avoided stepping on cracks in the pavement. He thought that to do otherwise would be bad luck.
      • While leading the Chicago Bulls to six NBA championships during his legendary career, Michael Jordan wore his University of North Carolina shorts under his uniform in every game, thinking it would affect his playing.
      • In Mandarin, Cantonese, and Japanese the words for “death” and “four” are pronounced the same, so in these cultures the number 4 is seen as unlucky.
      • In Western civilization, the number 13 is deemed unlucky because there were 13 people at Christ’s last supper. Many hotels don’t label the 13th floor because some people won’t stay there; the floor numbers simply skip from 12 to 14.

I think we all can agree that this deep-seated irrationality is nonsense. Most of it just sounds nutty. Carrying a rabbit’s foot will bring good luck? There’s a relationship between astronomical phenomena and human events? Blow out all the candles on your birthday cake in one breath and you’ll get whatever you wish for?

Scientific tests of superstitions have consistently debunked them. Yet superstitious thinking and behavior still pervades society.

Are you superstitious? Do you engage in superstitious behavior?

I doubt if any of my readers embrace the ridiculous examples cited above, but many of us may yield to more subtle forms of superstition that exist whenever correlation is confused with causation. Correlation is when two or more things or events tend to occur at about the same time and might be associated with each other, but aren’t necessarily connected by a cause/effect relationship. For instance, consider the following hypothetical situation.

A small town in East Texas hires a new sheriff, and a year later the robbery rate is down 50%. The city council assumes that the drop in crime is because the new sheriff is doing a terrific job so they extend his contract and give him a raise.

The problem is, while there is a valid correlation between hiring the new sheriff and the drop in crime, it is wrong to infer causation from this sequence of events. The crime rate may be down because criminals, having already robbed most of the town’s wealth, have moved to another town that holds more opportunities. Or perhaps an aggressive home-security company has installed security systems in most of the homes and stores. So the new sheriff may or may not be the primary reason for the drop in burglaries.

The only way to prove causation is by a controlled experiment.

I doubt if any of us, in this age of science and reason, naively embrace obvious superstitions. But we may succumb to subtle forms of superstition when we inadvertently confuse correlation and causation.

A mistake was made, but no one died

At my work at the church, we always pursue excellence, but sometimes we make mistakes. There was a typo on one of the worship slides; I brought the choir in a measure early; we missed a deadline. When boo-boos happen we thoughtfully say, “We made a mistake, but no one died.” The phrase helps put things into proper perspective.

There are environments in which mistakes can be fatal: emergency rooms, airplane flights, military engagements. But for most of us, our mistakes are less impactful and certainly not fatal.

Don’t use this phrase as an excuse for mistakes and don’t be dismissive or nonchalant about failures. Own up to your mistakes, analyze them, and learn from them. But don’t exaggerate their impact, shame the person responsible, or carve the incident in tablets of stone. Let it pass.

Extend this grace and generosity to yourself. When you mess up, don’t reach for the proverbial hammer and pound your head. Learn all you can, then drop it and move on. 

Don’t be cavalier about mistakes but don’t overreact—unless someone died.

Look for and relish, moments of awe and wonder

Two information meetings about Travel with Friend’s 2025 trip to Alaska

Every day we feel a plethora of emotions. Some are painful (hurt, fear, insecurity), others are pleasant (happy, fulfilled, secure). One of my favorite emotions is the sense of awe and wonder—a mixture of amazement, reverence, incredulity, surprise, admiration, serendipity, providence, and often beauty. I seldom feel it, which makes it even more special when I do.

Moments of awe arrest your attention, slow your pace, cause you to whisper, and sometimes make you gently weep. Time changes to slow motion mode.

Here are some examples of times when I’ve been overcome by awe and wonder. 

When my family and I were on a December transatlantic crossing of the Queen Mary 2, the ship sailed into a snowstorm. It was nearly a white out. I thought it was lovely and refreshing but the moment didn’t produce feelings of awe until I noticed the waitstaff had stopped what they were doing to watch the snow fall. Most of them were raised in Malaysia and had never seen snow. Soon, they were on the deck throwing snowballs at each other. Watching their reaction to seeing snow for the first time filled my heart with awe.

On one of our Travel with Friends trips, we were driving down the eastern coast of Ireland when two complete seven-colors rainbows appeared, almost overlapping, with all four points disappearing into the sea. Rainbows usually vanish rapidly but these remained for a long time.

Several years ago Mary and I were visiting the Sagrada Familia Cathedral in Barcelona. Designed by Gaudi, it will finally be finished in 2025 – 150 years after construction began. The entire western wall of the cathedral is stained glass. Every afternoon at a certain moment in time direct sunlight shines through the colorful glass and floods the space with a kaleidoscope of color; even visitors become illuminated with colors. We were there to sense the moment.

Notice that these three examples occurred while traveling. Moments of awe and wonder occur in day-to-day living but the frequency seems to accelerate when we’re in foreign places. Perhaps we’re just more observant while traveling, or we’re jostled out of our ruts.

When was the last time you felt awe and wonder?

 See below for a travel opportunity-of-a-lifetime.

Off to Alaska!

I’ve scheduled two information meetings regarding the July 30-August 11 2025 trip to Alaska. [Here’s the brochure.]

    1. Wednesday, October 30, 6:00-6:30 in the choir room at Stonebriar Community Church in Frisco, TX.

    2. Thursday, October 31, 6:00-6:45 Zoom meeting. If you want to participate just send me your email address.

 

Why I don’t talk much

Two information meetings about Travel with Friends’ 2025 trip to Alaska

I don’t talk very much. My wife calls me the king of brevity. I think there’s two reasons why.

First, I am by personality, taciturn. I’m an introvert so I’m not inclined to be verbose. I don’t need to talk a lot.

Secondly, I can remember a conversation I had when I was seventeen years old with a friend called Raymond (I’ll call him Raymond because that is his name).

Early on, Raymond talked a lot. Sometimes annoyingly so. But when we were seniors in high school I noticed that he talked less. It was so apparent that one day I asked him, “Raymond, are you okay? Is something wrong? You don’t talk as much as you used to.”

He said, “Don, I read and memorized a Bible verse and have decided to obey it. James 1:9 says, ‘Everyone should be quick to listen and slow to speak,’ so I’ve made a decision to talk less and be a better listener.” 

I knew obeying God’s Word was a good thing, so I made the decision to follow Raymond’s lead. That was 55 years ago.

I’ve learned that sometimes I need to talk more. Being too quiet may come across as unsociable or non-engaging. For sure, Mary deserves more conversation from me. And at times I need to insert my thoughts into conversations because few people ask “Don, what do you think about…”

I also avoid verbosity when writing, so I’ll stop here

Off to Alaska!

I’ve scheduled two information meetings regarding the July 30-August 11 2025 trip to Alaska. [Here’s the brochure.]

    1. Wednesday, October 30, 6:00-6:30 in the choir room at Stonebriar Community Church in Frisco, TX.

    2. Thursday, October 31, 6:00-6:45 Zoom meeting. If you want to participate just send me your email address.